The Role of Risk Perception in Social Media Influence, Overconfidence, and Investment Decisions

Authors

  • Trii Nurhayati Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
  • Eliada Herwiyanti Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Keywords:

Investment Decision, Overconfidence, Retail Investors, Risk Perception, Social Media Influence

Abstract

This study examines the effects of Social Media Influence and Overconfidence on Investment Decision, with Risk Perception serving as a mediating variable among retail stock investors in Indonesia. A quantitative approach was employed using survey data collected from 86 retail stock investors through purposive sampling. Data were analyzed using multiple regression analysis and Hayes' PROCESS Macro Model 4. The results indicate that Overconfidence and Risk Perception have positive and significant effects on Investment Decision. In addition, Social Media Influence and Overconfidence positively influence Risk Perception. However, Social Media Influence was found to have a significant negative direct effect on Investment Decision. The mediation analysis further revealed that Risk Perception significantly and partially mediates the relationships between Social Media Influence and Investment Decision, as well as between Overconfidence and Investment Decision. These findings suggest that investment decisions are influenced not only by external information obtained through social media but also by investors’ perceptions of risk. This study contributes to the behavioral finance literature by highlighting the important role of Risk Perception in explaining investment decision-making behavior among retail investors.

References

Adielyani, D., & Mawardi, W. (2020). The Influence of Overconfidence , Herding Behavior , and Risk Tolerance on Stock Investment Decisions : The Empirical Study of Millennial Investors in

Semarang City. Jurnal Maksipreneur: Manajemen, Koperasi, Dan Entrepreneurship, 10(1), 89–101.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.30588/jmp.v10i1.69 1

Almansour, B. Y., Elkrghli, S., & Almansour, A. Y. (2023). Behavioral finance factors and investment decisions : A mediating role of risk perception Behavioral finance factors and investment decisions : A mediating role of risk perception. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023. 2239032

Aqham, A. A., Endaryati, E., Subroto, V. K., & Kusumajaya, R. A. (2024). Behavioral Biases in Investment Decisions : A Mixed-Methods Study on Retail Investors in Emerging Markets. Journal of Management and Informatics (JMI), 3(3), 568–586. doi: 10.51903/jmi.v3i3.63

Ayudiastuti, L. (2021). Analisis pengaruh keputusan investasi mahasiswa. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 9(3), 1138–1149. doi: 10.26740/jim.v9n3.p1138-1149

Badriatin, T., Rinandiyana, L. R., & Marino, W. S. (2022). Persepsi Risiko dan Sikap Toleransi Risiko terhadap Keputusan Investasi Mahasiswa. Perspektif: Jurnal Ekonomi & Manajemen Universitas Bina Sarana Informatika, 20(2), 158– 163. doi: https://doi.org/10.31294/jp.v17i2%0APe rsepsi

Bhutto, S., Nazeer, N., Saad, M., & Talreja, K. (2025). Acta Psychologica Herding behavior , disposition effect , and investment decisions : A multi- mediation analysis of risk perception and dividend policy. Acta Psychologica, 255(March), 104964. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actpsy.2025.10 4964

Efendi, W., Raprayoga, R., & Ms, E. I. (2023). Modelling the Impact of Financial Attitudes and Social Media on Stock Investment Decisions: The Moderating Role of Risk Preference (Case Study on Macassar City). Study of Scientific and Behavioral Management (SSBM), 4(4), 46–62. doi: https://doi.org/10.24252/ssbm.v4i4.4417 7

Hair, J. F., Black, W. C., Babin, B. J., & Anderson, R. E. (2019). Multivariate data analysis (8th ed.). Cengage Learning.

Hasanah, A., Riani, D., & Ady, A. (2024). Behavioral Finance in the Digital Era: How Fintech Innovations Influence Investor Decision-Making and Risk Perception. YUME : Journal of Management, 7(2), 1633–1641. doi: https://doi.org/10.37531/yum.v7i2.7977

Hayes, A. F. (2022). Introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis: A regression-based approach (3rd ed.). The Guilford Press.

IDN Research Institute. (2025). Indonesia Millennial and Gen Z Report 2025.

Indonesia Stock Esxhange. (2026). IDX Daily Statistics (V ol. 650, Issue June). https://www.idx.co.id/Media/0phkfuom/ ds_260603.pdf

Kaban, L. M., & Linata, E. (2024). The Risk Perception as a Mediator Between Herding and Overconfidence on Investment Decision by Gen Z in Indonesia. MEC-J (Management and Economics Journal), 8(1), 1–14. doi: http://dx.doi.org 10.18860/mec- j.v8i1.25462

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979).

Prospect Theory : An Analysis of Decision under Risk. The Econometric Society, 47(2), 263–292. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1914185

KSEI. (2026). Statistik Pasar Modal Indonesia Pertumbuhan Investor. 1–14.

Limarus, V. H., & Pamungkas, A. S. (2023). Pengaruh Herding Behavior, Loss Aversion, Dan Financial Literacy Terhadap Investment Decision. Jurnal Muara Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 7(2), 389–401. https://doi.org/10.24912/jmieb.v7i2.233 80

Mahmood, F., Arshad, R., Khan, S., Afzal, A., & Bashir, M. (2024). Acta Psychologica Impact of behavioral biases on investment decisions and the moderation effect of financial literacy ; an evidence of Pakistan. Acta Psychologica, 247(April), 104303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actpsy.2024.10 4303

OJK. (2026). Ojk Imposes Sanctions To Social Media Influencer and Capital Market Price Mannipulation Perpetrators (Issue Februari 20). https://ojk.go.id/en/berita-dan- kegiatan/siaran- pers/Documents/Pages/OJK-Imposes- Sanctions-to-Social-Media-Influencer- and-Capital-Market-Price-Manipulation- Perpetrators

Prayudi, R. M. N., & Purwanto, E. (2023). The Impact of Financial Literacy , Overconfidence Bias , Herding Bias and Loss Aversion Bias on Investment Decision. Indonesian Journal of Business Analytics (IJBA), 3(5), 1873– 1886. doi: https://doi.org/10.55927/ijba.v3i5.5715

Shefrin, H. (2000). Beyond greed and fear: Understanding behavioral finance and the psychology of investing. Harvard Business School Press.

Singh, S., & Chakraborty, A. (2024). Role of Social Media in Investment Decision- making : A Comprehensive Review and Future Roadmap. Paradigm: A Management Research Journal, 28(1), 45–64. https://doi.org/10.1177/0971890724124 3187

SNLIK. (2025). Survei Nasional Literasi dan Inklusi Keuangan Tahun 2025. Otoritas Jasa Keuangan Dan Badan Pusat Statistik.

Thaler, R. H. (2017). Integrating Economics With Psychology. The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, 50005.

Yoga, I., Hastuti, R., Pramesti, W., & Rahmayati, A. (2025). The Power of Social Media : Shaping Risk Perception and Investment Decisions Among Y oung Equity Investors. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Perbankan Syariah, 11(1), 187–203. doi: 10.29300/aij.v11i1.5205

Yuniasih, I., Aisyah, N., & Suryani, R. (2025). Behavioral Finance in the Digital Age : How Social Media Influences Investment Decisions. Jurnal Akuntansi, Ekonomi Dan Manajemen Bisnis, 5(1).

Downloads

Published

2026-07-02

How to Cite

Nurhayati, T., & Herwiyanti, E. (2026). The Role of Risk Perception in Social Media Influence, Overconfidence, and Investment Decisions. JABKO: Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Bisnis Kontemporer, 6(1), 305–319. Retrieved from https://jabko.upstegal.ac.id/index.php/JABKO/article/view/98

Issue

Section

Articles